Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 416.867104 473.192229 535.548252 609.911701 696.453085 794.312611 913.804172
2026-01-11 332.215360 406.294610 495.704755 612.431834 762.063662 949.140882 1203.412612
2026-01-18 278.396871 357.325928 458.129591 597.933587 789.363341 1046.055672 1422.722917
2026-01-25 241.283883 321.701216 429.116884 585.524419 811.552310 1132.796715 1635.789644
2026-02-01 221.997836 306.187220 423.252769 601.411711 871.954947 1277.906377 1953.878552
2026-02-08 201.825323 286.442154 408.186042 600.627495 905.713458 1385.878362 2230.630338
2026-02-15 183.743603 267.399648 391.432932 594.218765 928.379602 1477.619539 2494.130937
2026-02-22 171.070616 254.896592 382.760961 598.640236 967.863782 1600.886170 2832.476769
2026-03-01 157.026016 238.789192 366.619702 588.601329 980.943610 1679.395657 3101.003782
2026-03-08 145.851570 226.102349 354.530819 583.616964 1001.510160 1773.112571 3414.749248
2026-03-15 132.606646 208.889819 333.374059 560.496691 986.052080 1796.715255 3588.774496
2026-03-22 128.069999 205.617401 335.140464 577.944070 1047.837077 1977.661846 4132.443350
2026-03-29 124.516663 203.825147 339.476837 600.965648 1124.314991 2202.073622 4828.072887
2026-04-05 117.931873 196.259013 332.982213 602.942192 1159.224273 2345.519043 5367.280285
2026-04-12 109.667671 185.059811 318.937577 588.727295 1158.689134 2411.312111 5727.999706
2026-04-19 102.479143 175.240981 306.590015 576.536833 1160.774293 2483.079205 6120.554707
2026-04-26 99.522993 172.890716 307.952837 592.142441 1225.384087 2710.745177 6993.124184
2026-05-03 94.782212 166.860401 301.766218 591.372155 1252.992717 2853.588524 7661.432073
2026-05-10 89.791548 159.997369 293.398289 585.077195 1266.933911 2964.439682 8263.336742
2026-05-17 86.368214 155.884375 290.114157 589.420195 1306.626044 3148.440634 9145.105234
2026-05-24 81.711118 149.056501 280.843591 579.559326 1310.379259 3237.115535 9740.205145
2026-05-31 77.898454 143.644220 274.061237 574.663186 1325.958936 3361.207320 10493.517532
2026-06-07 72.650531 135.050192 260.092936 551.950633 1293.216165 3343.062588 10735.855848